🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets
Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
No83.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
No82.6%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
No98.1%
Next French Presidential Election
No57.9%
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.2%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No59%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No82%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
No100%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No97.5%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Yes68.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
No100%
California Governor Election Winner
No100%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No96.3%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No97.6%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Yes93.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No98.2%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes100%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No93.5%
Iran leadership change by...?
No100%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No96.8%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
No100%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Yes60%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yes99.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No89.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No96.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No97.7%
Other categories
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