🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Politics prediction markets and live odds

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

No99%

128 marketsVol $1193.6M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

No98%

128 marketsVol $656.3M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

No99.4%

128 marketsVol $625.5M

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

No100%

17 marketsVol $294.5M

Netanyahu out by...?

Yes55.5%

5 marketsVol $122.1M

Peru Presidential Election Winner

No99.9%

49 marketsVol $99.4M

Brazil Presidential Election

No99.9%

32 marketsVol $98.6M

Next French Presidential Election

No91.5%

128 marketsVol $97.4M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

No96.6%

57 marketsVol $90.7M

Fed Decision in June?

No99.8%

5 marketsVol $86.3M

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No98.7%

1 marketVol $53.0M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

No90.5%

6 marketsVol $52.6M

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

No100%

34 marketsVol $45.9M

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

No100%

23 marketsVol $40.3M

California Governor Election Winner

No99.9%

45 marketsVol $38.8M

Colombia Presidential Election

No100%

28 marketsVol $36.6M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No82.5%

1 marketVol $36.5M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No93.9%

1 marketVol $34.3M

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No93.9%

1 marketVol $33.7M

Starmer out by...?

No100%

13 marketsVol $31.5M

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

No100%

18 marketsVol $31.5M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $26.1M

What will happen before GTA VI?

Yes100%

10 marketsVol $22.7M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

No92.5%

71 marketsVol $20.1M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No87.5%

1 marketVol $19.9M

Iran leadership change by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $17.4M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No64.5%

28 marketsVol $14.9M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

No100%

5 marketsVol $14.7M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No96.5%

123 marketsVol $14.5M

Israel closes its airspace by...?

No100%

12 marketsVol $14.4M

Other categories

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