🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets
Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
No79.6%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
No98.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
No80.2%
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes96.4%
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Next French Presidential Election
No68.3%
Brazil Presidential Election
No99.9%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.6%
Fed Decision in July?
No99.9%
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
No99.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No76.5%
California Governor Election Winner
No100%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No96.1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No95.8%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No94.2%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No63.5%
What will happen before GTA VI?
Yes50.5%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
No100%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
No95.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No91.5%
Iran leadership change by...?
No87.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No90.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No98.9%
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
No100%
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Yes55.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Yes65.5%
Other categories
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