🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets
Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
No84.6%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
No78.9%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
No98%
Brazil Presidential Election
No100%
Next French Presidential Election
No52.7%
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.8%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No82.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
No100%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No69.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No97.9%
California Governor Election Winner
No100%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
No100%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No95.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No97.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No96.4%
Iran leadership change by...?
No100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No94.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No94.1%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Yes62.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Yes90.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
No100%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
No55.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No88.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes100%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No96.4%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No97.4%
Other categories
₿ CryptoBitcoin, Ethereum and crypto price predictions.⚽ SportsWorld Cup, leagues, championships and finals.📈 EconomyFed rates, inflation, recession and jobs.🌍 GeopoliticsConflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs.🤖 AI & TechAI milestones, model races and big-tech outcomes.🗺️ World LeadersHeads of state, elections and global events.🎬 Pop CultureAwards, entertainment and viral moments.