🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets
Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
No87.8%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
No76%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
No98.1%
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Yes98.2%
Brazil Presidential Election
No100%
Fed Decision in September?
No100%
Next French Presidential Election
No65.4%
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.7%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No83.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No95.5%
California Governor Election Winner
No100%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No95.2%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No70.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No96.9%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
No100%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
No100%
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Yes79.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No92.5%
Iran leadership change by...?
No96.8%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No93.5%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
No97.4%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No69.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
No100%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Yes65.5%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Yes52.5%
Other categories
₿ CryptoBitcoin, Ethereum and crypto price predictions.⚽ SportsWorld Cup, leagues, championships and finals.📈 EconomyFed rates, inflation, recession and jobs.🌍 GeopoliticsConflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs.🤖 AI & TechAI milestones, model races and big-tech outcomes.🗺️ World LeadersHeads of state, elections and global events.🎬 Pop CultureAwards, entertainment and viral moments.