🗳️ Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Elections, nominees, policy and political outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Politics prediction markets and live odds

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

No80.7%

128 marketsVol $1248.5M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

No97.8%

128 marketsVol $681.7M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

No79.9%

128 marketsVol $672.0M

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes95.1%

33 marketsVol $235.4M

Netanyahu out by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $123.8M

Next French Presidential Election

No68.1%

128 marketsVol $116.3M

Brazil Presidential Election

No99.9%

32 marketsVol $116.2M

Fed Decision in July?

No99.9%

5 marketsVol $109.7M

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

No99.6%

57 marketsVol $94.6M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $63.6M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No78.5%

1 marketVol $48.8M

California Governor Election Winner

No100%

45 marketsVol $40.5M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No96.2%

1 marketVol $39.2M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No93%

123 marketsVol $35.3M

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No95.6%

1 marketVol $35.1M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No65.5%

28 marketsVol $30.2M

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $28.8M

Israel closes its airspace by...?

No100%

18 marketsVol $25.1M

What will happen before GTA VI?

No50.5%

10 marketsVol $23.5M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No91.5%

1 marketVol $23.2M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

No96.8%

71 marketsVol $23.0M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No99.7%

1 marketVol $21.6M

Iran leadership change by...?

No90.5%

10 marketsVol $21.0M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

No91.5%

5 marketsVol $18.8M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $17.5M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Yes57.5%

34 marketsVol $16.3M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $14.2M

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Yes62.5%

15 marketsVol $13.0M

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No95.3%

1 marketVol $11.7M

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No93%

1 marketVol $10.5M

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