🤖 AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

AI milestones, model races and big-tech outcomes. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

AI & Tech prediction markets and live odds

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

No66%

19 marketsVol $18.1M

Which company has best AI model end of July?

No98.7%

26 marketsVol $6.6M

OpenAI IPO by...?

No98.9%

6 marketsVol $2.6M

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

No89%

13 marketsVol $2.3M

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Yes77.5%

5 marketsVol $1.5M

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

No94.5%

15 marketsVol $888K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No95.6%

6 marketsVol $702K

GPT-6 released by…?

No99%

10 marketsVol $582K

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $405K

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

No99.8%

7 marketsVol $400K

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

No76.5%

10 marketsVol $373K

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $323K

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

No94.1%

26 marketsVol $291K

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

No87.5%

26 marketsVol $283K

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $263K

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No100%

32 marketsVol $253K

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

Yes59.6%

25 marketsVol $232K

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

No100%

16 marketsVol $231K

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic81%

1 marketVol $229K

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

No98.5%

7 marketsVol $210K

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Yes80.5%

1 marketVol $159K

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No84.5%

10 marketsVol $158K

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No93.6%

8 marketsVol $145K

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

No70.5%

3 marketsVol $124K

Which company has #1 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

No99.2%

26 marketsVol $122K

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Yes100%

5 marketsVol $113K

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No95.8%

32 marketsVol $109K

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes88%

1 marketVol $108K

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No86%

1 marketVol $101K

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

No98.5%

2 marketsVol $98K

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