Market Movers & Stats

Updated every 30 minutes · Data from the Polymarket Gamma & CLOB APIs

Where prediction-market sentiment is shifting right now. The biggest 24-hour swings often follow news, the most contested markets are where the crowd is genuinely split, and volume shows where the money is. Use it to find spots worth a closer look, not as guaranteed value.

$4379.3M

Volume tracked

1,329

Active markets

23

Events analysed (24h)

8

Categories

📈 Biggest gainers (24h)

Probability rising fastest

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes
94.2%▲ 1.4 pts
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Yes
85.4%▲ 0.7 pts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028No
80.7%▲ 0.3 pts
F1 Constructors' ChampionNo
99%▲ 0.3 pts
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?No
99.6%▲ 0.2 pts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No
99.7%▲ 0.2 pts

📉 Biggest fallers (24h)

Probability dropping fastest

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
78.5%▼ 1 pts
Next French Presidential ElectionNo
68.1%▼ 0.9 pts
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No
96.2%▼ 0.3 pts

⚖️ Most contested

Closest to a coin-flip — where the crowd is split

What will happen before GTA VI?No
50.5%
Next French Presidential ElectionNo
68.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
78.5%
Presidential Election Winner 2028No
79.9%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028No
80.7%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Yes
85.4%

💰 Highest volume right now

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

No80.7%

128 marketsVol $1248.4M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

No97.8%

128 marketsVol $681.6M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

No79.9%

128 marketsVol $672.0M

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes94%

33 marketsVol $235.4M

F1 Drivers' Champion

No97%

32 marketsVol $200.5M

Netanyahu out by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $123.8M

Movers are computed from the last 24 hours of CLOB price history for each event's headline market. Probabilities are implied by real money on Polymarket and can change at any time. 18+, trade responsibly.