Market Movers & Stats

Updated every 30 minutes · Data from the Polymarket Gamma & CLOB APIs

Where prediction-market sentiment is shifting right now. The biggest 24-hour swings often follow news, the most contested markets are where the crowd is genuinely split, and volume shows where the money is. Use it to find spots worth a closer look, not as guaranteed value.

$4707.7M

Volume tracked

1,366

Active markets

22

Events analysed (24h)

8

Categories

📈 Biggest gainers (24h)

Probability rising fastest

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No
79.5%▲ 13.5 pts
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No
96.1%▲ 0.6 pts
Presidential Election Winner 2028No
76.5%▲ 0.5 pts
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Yes
93.9%▲ 0.4 pts
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes
98%▲ 0.1 pts

📉 Biggest fallers (24h)

Probability dropping fastest

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026No
88.7%▼ 0.8 pts
Next French Presidential ElectionNo
65%▼ 0.4 pts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028No
87.4%▼ 0.1 pts
F1 Constructors' ChampionNo
99.4%▼ 0.1 pts

⚖️ Most contested

Closest to a coin-flip — where the crowd is split

Next French Presidential ElectionNo
65%
Presidential Election Winner 2028No
76.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No
79.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
83.5%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?No
85.5%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028No
87.4%

💰 Highest volume right now

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

No87.4%

128 marketsVol $1277.9M

Presidential Election Winner 2028

No76.5%

128 marketsVol $705.8M

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

No98.1%

128 marketsVol $704.2M

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes98%

33 marketsVol $285.8M

F1 Drivers' Champion

No96.9%

32 marketsVol $202.9M

Fed Decision in September?

No100%

5 marketsVol $165.6M

Movers are computed from the last 24 hours of CLOB price history for each event's headline market. Probabilities are implied by real money on Polymarket and can change at any time. 18+, trade responsibly.