F1 Drivers' Champion — Odds & Predictions

32 markets · Total volume $171.6M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 83% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No — probability over time
83% 12.5 pts

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No83%Bet
Yes17%Bet

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.9%Bet
Yes3.2%Bet

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.6%Bet
Yes2.5%Bet

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.8%Bet
Yes2.2%Bet

Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Driver A be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver C be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver E be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver G be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver I be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.8%Bet
Yes1.3%Bet

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes66.9%Bet
No33.1%Bet

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.8%Bet
Yes3.2%Bet

Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Another Driver be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver B be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver D be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver F be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Driver H be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for F1 Drivers' Champion?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 83% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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