Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 62% implied probability.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 84.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 15.5% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 62% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.