Netanyahu out by...? — Odds & Predictions

5 markets · Total volume $122.2M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: Yes at 53.5% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes — probability over time
53.5% 3 pts

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes53.5%Bet
No46.5%Bet

Netanyahu out by March 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

Netanyahu out by June 30?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.5%Bet
Yes1.6%Bet

Netanyahu out by April 30?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

Netanyahu out by May 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Netanyahu out by...??

As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 53.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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