OpenAI IPO by...? — Odds & Predictions

6 markets · Total volume $2.7M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 98.9% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?No — probability over time
98.9% 1.7 pts

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.9%Bet
Yes1.1%Bet

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.6%Bet
Yes3.4%Bet

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No81.5%Bet
Yes18.5%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for OpenAI IPO by...??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 98.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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