📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

Fed Decision in July?

No100%

5 marketsVol $107.3M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes85.4%

13 marketsVol $45.2M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No99.6%

1 marketVol $21.4M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes55.5%

1 marketVol $6.1M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Yes51%

28 marketsVol $4.9M

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes76.5%

1 marketVol $4.8M

Largest Company end of July?

No82%

29 marketsVol $4.7M

Fed Decision in September?

No98.1%

5 marketsVol $4.5M

Fed rate cut by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $3.0M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No96.5%

21 marketsVol $1.7M

US recession by end of 2026?

No87.5%

1 marketVol $1.7M

Fed rate hike by...?

No100%

5 marketsVol $1.7M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

No76.5%

8 marketsVol $1.3M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No97.4%

1 marketVol $1.0M

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

No100%

9 marketsVol $904K

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No100%

10 marketsVol $801K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No94.3%

6 marketsVol $709K

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

No100%

9 marketsVol $618K

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

No100%

9 marketsVol $569K

2nd Largest Company end of July?

Yes74.5%

29 marketsVol $499K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No87.9%

5 marketsVol $470K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No98.3%

4 marketsVol $424K

Fed Decision in October?

No97.7%

5 marketsVol $358K

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No100%

5 marketsVol $340K

3rd Largest Company end of July?

No98.9%

29 marketsVol $325K

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

10 marketsVol $260K

Largest Company end of August?

No51%

29 marketsVol $233K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

9 marketsVol $222K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $175K

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

No99.4%

5 marketsVol $166K

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