📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

Fed Decision in July?

No99.9%

5 marketsVol $66.6M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes84%

13 marketsVol $43.1M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No99.1%

1 marketVol $17.2M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes54.5%

1 marketVol $5.2M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Yes61.5%

28 marketsVol $4.3M

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes51.5%

1 marketVol $4.2M

Fed Decision in September?

No97.9%

5 marketsVol $3.4M

Fed rate cut by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $2.9M

Largest Company end of July?

Yes75%

29 marketsVol $2.6M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No96.5%

21 marketsVol $1.7M

US recession by end of 2026?

No90%

1 marketVol $1.7M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

No78.5%

8 marketsVol $1.3M

Fed rate hike by...?

No100%

5 marketsVol $1.3M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No97.3%

1 marketVol $1.0M

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No100%

10 marketsVol $781K

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

No100%

9 marketsVol $702K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No95.6%

6 marketsVol $702K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No86.3%

5 marketsVol $468K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No97.5%

4 marketsVol $401K

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

No100%

9 marketsVol $396K

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

No100%

5 marketsVol $374K

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

No100%

9 marketsVol $319K

2nd Largest Company end of July?

No75.5%

29 marketsVol $304K

Fed Decision in October?

No98.1%

5 marketsVol $251K

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

10 marketsVol $250K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

9 marketsVol $220K

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No100%

5 marketsVol $206K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $173K

Bank of Russia decision in July?

No65.5%

3 marketsVol $172K

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No98.1%

1 marketVol $153K

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