📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes96.9%

13 marketsVol $54.2M

Fed Decision in October?

No99.9%

5 marketsVol $42.2M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No88.5%

1 marketVol $14.9M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Yes68.5%

28 marketsVol $8.5M

Fed rate cut by...?

No100%

13 marketsVol $3.8M

Fed Decision in December?

No99.6%

5 marketsVol $3.5M

US recession by end of 2026?

No92.5%

1 marketVol $2.3M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No97.4%

21 marketsVol $1.9M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

No83.5%

8 marketsVol $1.5M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No97.4%

1 marketVol $1.1M

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

13 marketsVol $1.0M

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No99.9%

10 marketsVol $931K

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes86.5%

1 marketVol $806K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No95.4%

6 marketsVol $718K

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No100%

5 marketsVol $604K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No95.2%

5 marketsVol $564K

Fed Decision in January?

No99.5%

5 marketsVol $505K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $443K

Largest Company end of October 2026?

No99.9%

25 marketsVol $377K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

16 marketsVol $372K

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Yes61%

9 marketsVol $349K

Bank of England decision in November?

No100%

5 marketsVol $315K

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No96%

1 marketVol $245K

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

10 marketsVol $233K

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No100%

5 marketsVol $222K

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

No92%

20 marketsVol $216K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $188K

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No99.9%

5 marketsVol $182K

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

No99.9%

10 marketsVol $165K

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

No91.4%

9 marketsVol $140K

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