📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes97.2%

13 marketsVol $55.1M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No88.5%

1 marketVol $15.9M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Yes64%

28 marketsVol $9.1M

Fed Decision in December?

No99.8%

5 marketsVol $8.1M

Fed rate cut by...?

No100%

13 marketsVol $3.8M

US recession by end of 2026?

No93%

1 marketVol $2.4M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No97.7%

21 marketsVol $1.9M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

No88%

8 marketsVol $1.5M

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes77%

1 marketVol $1.2M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No98%

1 marketVol $1.1M

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

14 marketsVol $1.1M

Fed Decision in January?

No99.5%

5 marketsVol $1.0M

Largest Company end of October 2026?

No100%

25 marketsVol $1.0M

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No100%

10 marketsVol $945K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No95.2%

6 marketsVol $720K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No92.8%

5 marketsVol $587K

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Yes77%

9 marketsVol $543K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

18 marketsVol $453K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $447K

Bank of England decision in November?

No99.9%

5 marketsVol $433K

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

No97.4%

13 marketsVol $390K

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No100%

5 marketsVol $372K

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

13 marketsVol $280K

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No93.4%

1 marketVol $257K

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No100%

5 marketsVol $250K

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

No95.2%

10 marketsVol $245K

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

No92.5%

20 marketsVol $225K

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

14 marketsVol $208K

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

No99.5%

10 marketsVol $196K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $188K

Other categories

🗳️ PoliticsElections, nominees, policy and political outcomes.₿ CryptoBitcoin, Ethereum and crypto price predictions.⚽ SportsWorld Cup, leagues, championships and finals.🌍 GeopoliticsConflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs.🤖 AI & TechAI milestones, model races and big-tech outcomes.🗺️ World LeadersHeads of state, elections and global events.🎬 Pop CultureAwards, entertainment and viral moments.