📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

Fed Decision in September?

No100%

5 marketsVol $155.3M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes93.6%

13 marketsVol $52.4M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No82.5%

1 marketVol $11.7M

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes90.5%

1 marketVol $9.3M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Yes66.5%

28 marketsVol $7.2M

Fed rate cut by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $3.5M

Fed rate hike by...?

No100%

5 marketsVol $3.4M

Fed Decision in October?

No99.6%

5 marketsVol $2.2M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No97.4%

21 marketsVol $1.8M

Largest Company end of September?

No99.7%

25 marketsVol $1.8M

US recession by end of 2026?

No91.5%

1 marketVol $1.8M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

No87.5%

8 marketsVol $1.4M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No97.7%

1 marketVol $1.1M

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No99.9%

10 marketsVol $900K

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

No100%

9 marketsVol $872K

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

No100%

5 marketsVol $792K

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

No100%

9 marketsVol $762K

Fed Decision in December?

No99.1%

5 marketsVol $741K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No93.1%

6 marketsVol $714K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No90.4%

5 marketsVol $503K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $435K

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

11 marketsVol $410K

Bank of England decision in September?

No99.8%

5 marketsVol $286K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

9 marketsVol $266K

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No94.4%

1 marketVol $219K

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

No90.5%

20 marketsVol $185K

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $185K

3rd Largest Company end of September?

No99.9%

29 marketsVol $178K

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

No99.7%

5 marketsVol $146K

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No100%

5 marketsVol $126K

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