📈 Economy Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Fed rates, inflation, recession and jobs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

Economy prediction markets and live odds

Fed Decision in June?

No99.8%

5 marketsVol $86.6M

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yes78.5%

13 marketsVol $34.1M

Largest Company end of June?

Yes93.5%

28 marketsVol $21.7M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No78.5%

1 marketVol $18.7M

Fed Decision in July?

Yes92.5%

5 marketsVol $9.4M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No99.4%

1 marketVol $7.1M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No56.5%

1 marketVol $4.2M

Largest Company end of December 2026?

No99.3%

28 marketsVol $3.4M

Fed rate cut by...?

No99.4%

8 marketsVol $2.2M

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

No100%

9 marketsVol $1.8M

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No61.5%

1 marketVol $1.7M

US recession by end of 2026?

No82.5%

1 marketVol $1.6M

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

No95.9%

21 marketsVol $1.6M

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Yes100%

8 marketsVol $1.2M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes78.5%

1 marketVol $1.1M

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No96.8%

1 marketVol $955K

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

No100%

10 marketsVol $706K

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

No95.2%

6 marketsVol $697K

Which banks will fail by June 30?

No99.6%

19 marketsVol $533K

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

No99.7%

4 marketsVol $501K

2nd largest company end of June?

No97.3%

29 marketsVol $460K

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

No83.5%

5 marketsVol $437K

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $293K

Bank of England decision in June?

Yes97.5%

5 marketsVol $280K

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

No99.6%

3 marketsVol $275K

Fed Decision in September?

No97.1%

5 marketsVol $267K

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Yes100%

10 marketsVol $237K

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Yes100%

9 marketsVol $216K

Fed rate hike by...?

No99.2%

5 marketsVol $158K

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No99.1%

1 marketVol $141K

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