Largest Company end of December 2026? — Odds & Predictions

28 markets · Total volume $3.4M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.3% implied probability.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No — probability over time

99.3%▲ 0.1 pts

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	84%	Bet
Yes	16%	Bet

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1%	Bet

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.4%	Bet
Yes	3.7%	Bet

Will Company C be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company E be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company I be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company K be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company M be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company O be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company Q be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company S be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will any other company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	64.5%	Bet
No	35.5%	Bet

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	90.1%	Bet
Yes	10%	Bet

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Company B be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company D be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company F be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company H be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company J be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company L be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company N be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company P be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company R be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Largest Company end of December 2026??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.3% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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