What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 97.3% implied probability.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.3% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.7% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.3% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.8% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.4% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.6% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 84.1% | Bet |
| Yes | 15.9% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 93.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 6.5% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.2% | Bet |
| No | 47.9% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 96.3% | Bet |
| Yes | 3.8% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.4% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 98.3% | Bet |
| Yes | 1.8% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 98.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 1.4% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.6% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.9% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.2% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 96.7% | Bet |
| Yes | 3.4% | Bet |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 97.3% | Bet |
| Yes | 2.7% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for What will Fed Rate hit before 2027??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 97.3% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.