🌍 Geopolitics Prediction Markets
Conflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
No99.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No79.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No96.4%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No94.1%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No66.5%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
No100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No91.5%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
No96.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No99.2%
Iran leadership change by...?
No89%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No91.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
No100%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No95.4%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No95.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
No100%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No92.5%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No93.5%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
No100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes100%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
No100%
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
No100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
No100%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
No100%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
No100%
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