🌍 Geopolitics Prediction Markets
Conflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
No100%
Netanyahu out by...?
Yes55.5%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No96.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
No100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No98.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
No100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No82.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No93.9%
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
No100%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No100%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
No92.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No87.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No78.5%
Iran leadership change by...?
No100%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No64.5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No96.5%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No94.6%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No99.4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No86.5%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No92.2%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No90.5%
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No70%
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
No100%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No99.9%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No54.5%
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