🌍 Geopolitics Prediction Markets
Conflicts, ceasefires, treaties and world affairs. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.
Netanyahu out by...?
No100%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
No99.2%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
No57.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
No100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No81.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No97.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
No100%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes100%
Iran leader end of 2026?
No96.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
No98.2%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Yes100%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
No100%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No93.5%
Iran leadership change by...?
No100%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No100%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
No100%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
No100%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
No100%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No97.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No88.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
No100%
Trump out as President before 2027?
No96.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
No100%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No97.7%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No97.1%
Iran full airspace closure by...?
No100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
No100%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
No100%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
No100%
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
No100%
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