Putin out as President of Russia by...? — Odds & Predictions

5 markets · Total volume $21.5M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 92.5% implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No — probability over time
92.5% 1 pts

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No92.5%Bet
Yes7.5%Bet

Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0%Bet

Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.3%Bet
Yes1.7%Bet

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No86.5%Bet
Yes13.5%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Putin out as President of Russia by...??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 92.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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