🗺️ World Leaders Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Heads of state, elections and global events. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

World Leaders prediction markets and live odds

Next French Presidential Election

No57.1%

128 marketsVol $158.6M

Netanyahu out by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $124.8M

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No50.5%

28 marketsVol $77.9M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No81.5%

1 marketVol $75.7M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No98%

1 marketVol $45.1M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No95.3%

123 marketsVol $40.5M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

No98.1%

6 marketsVol $30.8M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No94.5%

1 marketVol $28.2M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $22.2M

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No96.4%

1 marketVol $16.4M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $14.2M

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

No100%

8 marketsVol $12.7M

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

No76.8%

36 marketsVol $10.5M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $7.8M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

No100%

16 marketsVol $7.7M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $6.4M

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $5.6M

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

No97.5%

3 marketsVol $4.5M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

No87%

8 marketsVol $4.1M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No99.3%

30 marketsVol $4.0M

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No93%

1 marketVol $3.7M

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No90.5%

1 marketVol $3.6M

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

No100%

2 marketsVol $3.5M

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No95.5%

1 marketVol $3.5M

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

No100%

10 marketsVol $3.1M

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

No95%

7 marketsVol $3.0M

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No92.5%

1 marketVol $2.9M

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

No92%

9 marketsVol $2.9M

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

No100%

5 marketsVol $2.7M

France declares state of emergency by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $2.6M

Other categories

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