🗺️ World Leaders Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Heads of state, elections and global events. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

World Leaders prediction markets and live odds

Netanyahu out by...?

Yes53.5%

5 marketsVol $122.2M

Brazil Presidential Election

No99.9%

32 marketsVol $99.0M

Next French Presidential Election

No91.5%

128 marketsVol $97.6M

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No98.9%

1 marketVol $53.3M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No81.5%

1 marketVol $36.6M

Colombia Presidential Election

No100%

28 marketsVol $36.6M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No93.8%

1 marketVol $34.4M

Starmer out by...?

No100%

13 marketsVol $31.6M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $20.7M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

No92.5%

71 marketsVol $20.1M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No87.5%

1 marketVol $19.9M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No63.5%

28 marketsVol $15.0M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No96.6%

123 marketsVol $14.5M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $14.2M

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No99.4%

1 marketVol $10.9M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

No96.8%

34 marketsVol $10.8M

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No92.2%

1 marketVol $10.2M

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

No99.9%

61 marketsVol $9.9M

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $8.5M

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

No99.9%

15 marketsVol $8.4M

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes51.5%

1 marketVol $8.2M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

No94.5%

3 marketsVol $7.6M

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No91.5%

1 marketVol $7.2M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

No100%

16 marketsVol $6.8M

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

No100%

13 marketsVol $6.6M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

No94.7%

3 marketsVol $5.9M

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

No100%

2 marketsVol $5.0M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $4.0M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

No83.5%

32 marketsVol $3.7M

Which continent will win the World Cup?

No97.6%

7 marketsVol $3.6M

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