🗺️ World Leaders Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Heads of state, elections and global events. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

World Leaders prediction markets and live odds

Brazil Presidential Election

No100%

32 marketsVol $149.7M

Next French Presidential Election

No65.1%

128 marketsVol $133.5M

Netanyahu out by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $124.3M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No83.5%

1 marketVol $66.1M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No96.1%

1 marketVol $41.4M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No95.2%

123 marketsVol $39.4M

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No70.5%

28 marketsVol $37.4M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Yes78.5%

34 marketsVol $27.8M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No92.5%

1 marketVol $25.9M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

No93.5%

5 marketsVol $24.3M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

No97.6%

71 marketsVol $24.0M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $21.9M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $14.2M

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No96.5%

1 marketVol $13.2M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $7.8M

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

No87.5%

36 marketsVol $7.6M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

No100%

16 marketsVol $7.4M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

No100%

32 marketsVol $7.1M

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $6.8M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $6.3M

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $5.4M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

No84.5%

8 marketsVol $4.1M

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

No94.5%

3 marketsVol $3.8M

Berlin State Election Winner

No72.5%

24 marketsVol $3.7M

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Yes99%

34 marketsVol $3.7M

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

No100%

2 marketsVol $3.5M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No99.1%

30 marketsVol $3.5M

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No93.4%

1 marketVol $3.4M

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

No88.5%

1 marketVol $3.2M

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No92.5%

1 marketVol $3.2M

Other categories

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