🗺️ World Leaders Prediction Markets

Live odds · Polymarket · Updated continuously

Heads of state, elections and global events. Every price below is the market's implied probability, set by real money on Polymarket.

World Leaders prediction markets and live odds

Netanyahu out by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $124.0M

Brazil Presidential Election

No100%

32 marketsVol $122.4M

Next French Presidential Election

No68.3%

128 marketsVol $118.8M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No81.5%

1 marketVol $58.4M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No96.3%

1 marketVol $39.6M

Iran leader end of 2026?

No95.2%

123 marketsVol $38.5M

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

No69.5%

28 marketsVol $31.8M

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No93.5%

1 marketVol $24.6M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

No97.4%

71 marketsVol $23.3M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

No100%

7 marketsVol $21.8M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

No92.5%

5 marketsVol $20.3M

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Yes67.5%

34 marketsVol $19.0M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $14.2M

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No95.4%

1 marketVol $12.0M

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

No100%

17 marketsVol $8.9M

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $7.8M

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

No100%

16 marketsVol $7.4M

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

No100%

4 marketsVol $6.3M

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

No100%

3 marketsVol $5.4M

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

No99.9%

32 marketsVol $4.5M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

No76.5%

8 marketsVol $4.1M

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

No100%

6 marketsVol $4.0M

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

No92.5%

2 marketsVol $3.6M

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

No100%

2 marketsVol $3.5M

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

No90.5%

36 marketsVol $3.4M

Berlin State Election Winner

No75.5%

24 marketsVol $3.2M

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No93%

1 marketVol $3.2M

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

Yes98.4%

34 marketsVol $3.1M

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No94.5%

1 marketVol $2.9M

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No98.6%

30 marketsVol $2.9M

Other categories

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