How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? — Odds & Predictions

10 markets · Total volume $238K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: Yes at 100% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	100%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Outcome

Implied %

Trade

Yes

100%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

FAQ