Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: Yes at 63.5% implied probability.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.5% | Bet |
| No | 36.5% | Bet |
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0% | Bet |
Will another candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Bet |
| No | 0% | Bet |
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0% | Bet |
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0% | Bet |
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 63.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.