World Cup Winner — Odds & Predictions

60 markets · Total volume $2149.2M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 83.6% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No — probability over time

83.6%▼ 0.1 pts

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	83.6%	Bet
Yes	16.5%	Bet

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.4%	Bet

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	90.4%	Bet
Yes	9.7%	Bet

Will Team AM win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	84%	Bet
Yes	16.1%	Bet

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	91.7%	Bet
Yes	8.4%	Bet

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92.2%	Bet
Yes	7.9%	Bet

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94.9%	Bet
Yes	5.2%	Bet

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.3%	Bet
Yes	1.8%	Bet

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	89.3%	Bet
Yes	10.8%	Bet

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.2%	Bet
Yes	4.9%	Bet

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0%	Bet

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.1%	Bet
Yes	1%	Bet

Will Team AI win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.4%	Bet

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0%	Bet

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.6%	Bet
Yes	2.5%	Bet

Will Any Other Team win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Team AG win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Team AH win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.9%	Bet

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.5%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98%	Bet
Yes	2.1%	Bet

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Team AL win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.9%	Bet

Will Team AN win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Team AJ win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Team AK win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Team AO win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup Winner ?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 83.6% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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