World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals — Odds & Predictions

48 markets · Total volume $514K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.6% implied probability.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Haiti reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No — probability over time

99.6%▲ 0.5 pts

Will Haiti reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Panama reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Iran reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.4%	Bet
Yes	2.7%	Bet

Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97%	Bet
Yes	3%	Bet

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	90%	Bet
Yes	10%	Bet

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	82.5%	Bet
Yes	17.5%	Bet

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	84%	Bet
Yes	16%	Bet

Will Curacao reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	91.5%	Bet
Yes	8.5%	Bet

Will Tunisia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.4%	Bet

Will Qatar reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.8%	Bet
Yes	2.3%	Bet

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	75.5%	Bet
Yes	24.5%	Bet

Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.1%	Bet
Yes	4%	Bet

Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.1%	Bet
Yes	1.9%	Bet

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	81.5%	Bet
Yes	18.5%	Bet

Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	93.5%	Bet
Yes	6.6%	Bet

Will Saudi Arabia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98%	Bet
Yes	2.1%	Bet

Will Ecuador reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95%	Bet
Yes	5%	Bet

Will Ghana reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.1%	Bet

Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87%	Bet
Yes	13%	Bet

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	55.5%	Bet
Yes	44.5%	Bet

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	63%	Bet
Yes	37%	Bet

Will Austria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.2%	Bet
Yes	4.8%	Bet

Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.4%	Bet

Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	93.8%	Bet
Yes	6.3%	Bet

Will DR Congo reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.5%	Bet
Yes	2.6%	Bet

Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	72.5%	Bet
Yes	27.5%	Bet

Will Algeria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.8%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	72.5%	Bet
Yes	27.5%	Bet

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86.5%	Bet
Yes	13.5%	Bet

Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92.5%	Bet
Yes	7.5%	Bet

Will Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.6%	Bet
Yes	4.5%	Bet

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	58.5%	Bet
Yes	41.5%	Bet

Will South Korea reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.1%	Bet
Yes	4.9%	Bet

Will New Zealand reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.4%	Bet

Will Ivory Coast reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.6%	Bet
Yes	4.5%	Bet

Will Iraq reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Uzbekistan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.4%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Scotland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.5%	Bet
Yes	2.5%	Bet

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	83.5%	Bet
Yes	16.5%	Bet

Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.5%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.4%	Bet
Yes	3.7%	Bet

Will South Africa reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.8%	Bet
Yes	2.3%	Bet

Will Uruguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94.5%	Bet
Yes	5.5%	Bet

Will Czechia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.3%	Bet
Yes	2.8%	Bet

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	60%	Bet
Yes	40%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.6% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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