World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16 — Odds & Predictions

48 markets · Total volume $1.0M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: Yes at 60% implied probability.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes — probability over time

60%▲ 10 pts

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	60%	Bet
No	40%	Bet

Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86%	Bet
Yes	14%	Bet

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	53.5%	Bet
No	46.5%	Bet

Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94.8%	Bet
Yes	5.3%	Bet

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	69.5%	Bet
No	30.5%	Bet

Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87.5%	Bet
Yes	12.5%	Bet

Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	63.5%	Bet
Yes	36.5%	Bet

Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	50.5%	Bet
No	49.5%	Bet

Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	52.5%	Bet
No	47.5%	Bet

Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	76.5%	Bet
Yes	23.5%	Bet

Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.5%	Bet
Yes	2.5%	Bet

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92.5%	Bet
Yes	7.5%	Bet

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	85.5%	Bet
No	14.5%	Bet

Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94.9%	Bet
Yes	5.1%	Bet

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	81.5%	Bet
Yes	18.5%	Bet

Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	66.5%	Bet
Yes	33.5%	Bet

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	67.5%	Bet
No	32.5%	Bet

Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	69.5%	Bet
Yes	30.5%	Bet

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	51.5%	Bet
No	48.5%	Bet

Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	88.5%	Bet
Yes	11.5%	Bet

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	64.5%	Bet
Yes	35.5%	Bet

Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92%	Bet
Yes	8%	Bet

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	75.5%	Bet
Yes	24.5%	Bet

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	57.5%	Bet
Yes	42.5%	Bet

Will Tunisia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.1%	Bet
Yes	2%	Bet

Will Jordan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.5%	Bet
Yes	2.5%	Bet

Will Haiti reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.6%	Bet
Yes	1.5%	Bet

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	72.5%	Bet
No	27.5%	Bet

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	63.5%	Bet
No	36.5%	Bet

Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	51.5%	Bet
No	48.5%	Bet

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	71.5%	Bet
No	28.5%	Bet

Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	62.5%	Bet
Yes	37.5%	Bet

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	64.5%	Bet
Yes	35.5%	Bet

Will Curacao reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	93.5%	Bet
Yes	6.5%	Bet

Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	65.5%	Bet
Yes	34.5%	Bet

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	60%	Bet
No	40%	Bet

Will Algeria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	79%	Bet
Yes	21%	Bet

Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	58.5%	Bet
No	41.5%	Bet

Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87%	Bet
Yes	13%	Bet

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	63.5%	Bet
Yes	36.5%	Bet

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	81.5%	Bet
Yes	18.5%	Bet

Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	70.5%	Bet
Yes	29.5%	Bet

Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.9%	Bet
Yes	3.2%	Bet

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	60%	Bet
No	40%	Bet

Will Iraq reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.1%	Bet

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	74.5%	Bet
No	25.5%	Bet

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	80%	Bet
No	20%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16?

As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 60% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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