World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals — Odds & Predictions

48 markets · Total volume $854K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 95.4% implied probability.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No — probability over time

95.4%▲ 39.9 pts

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.4%	Bet
Yes	4.6%	Bet

Will Croatia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	82.5%	Bet
Yes	17.5%	Bet

Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	69%	Bet
Yes	31%	Bet

Will Iraq reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.5%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92.5%	Bet
Yes	7.5%	Bet

Will Uzbekistan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.3%	Bet
Yes	1.7%	Bet

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	59.5%	Bet
No	40.5%	Bet

Will Austria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87%	Bet
Yes	13%	Bet

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	57.5%	Bet
Yes	42.5%	Bet

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	70%	Bet
Yes	30%	Bet

Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.1%	Bet
Yes	4%	Bet

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	67.5%	Bet
Yes	32.5%	Bet

Will Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87%	Bet
Yes	13%	Bet

Will South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	83.5%	Bet
Yes	16.5%	Bet

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86%	Bet
Yes	14%	Bet

Will Curacao reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Tunisia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Will Jordan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Will South Africa reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Czechia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.5%	Bet
Yes	3.6%	Bet

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	62.5%	Bet
Yes	37.5%	Bet

Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	83.5%	Bet
Yes	16.5%	Bet

Will Haiti reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.1%	Bet
Yes	2.9%	Bet

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	55.5%	Bet
No	44.5%	Bet

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	60%	Bet
No	40%	Bet

Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	78%	Bet
Yes	22%	Bet

Will Qatar reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.8%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	54%	Bet
Yes	46%	Bet

Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86.5%	Bet
Yes	13.5%	Bet

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.5%	Bet
Yes	4.5%	Bet

Will Saudi Arabia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.3%	Bet
Yes	3.7%	Bet

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	60.5%	Bet
No	39.5%	Bet

Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	70%	Bet
Yes	30%	Bet

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	63.5%	Bet
Yes	36.5%	Bet

Will Panama reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.1%	Bet
Yes	2%	Bet

Will Scotland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	92.5%	Bet
Yes	7.5%	Bet

Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	87.5%	Bet
Yes	12.5%	Bet

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	64%	Bet
Yes	36%	Bet

Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	91.2%	Bet
Yes	8.9%	Bet

Will Paraguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94%	Bet
Yes	6.1%	Bet

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	76.5%	Bet
Yes	23.5%	Bet

Will New Zealand reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.1%	Bet
Yes	3%	Bet

Will Uruguay reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	79.5%	Bet
Yes	20.5%	Bet

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86%	Bet
Yes	14%	Bet

Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	89%	Bet
Yes	11%	Bet

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	66.5%	Bet
Yes	33.5%	Bet

Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96%	Bet
Yes	4.1%	Bet

Will DR Congo reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	94.4%	Bet
Yes	5.7%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 95.4% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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