World Cup Group D Winner — Odds & Predictions

5 markets · Total volume $1.1M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 97.6% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No — probability over time
97.6% 16.1 pts

Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.6%Bet
Yes2.4%Bet

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No91.5%Bet
Yes8.5%Bet

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes69%Bet
No31%Bet

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No78.9%Bet
Yes21.2%Bet

Will another team win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup Group D Winner?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 97.6% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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