World Cup: Golden Boot Winner — Odds & Predictions

80 markets · Total volume $15.8M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 78.9% implied probability.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No — probability over time
78.9% 16 pts

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No78.9%Bet
Yes21.2%Bet

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.7%Bet
Yes1.3%Bet

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No91.5%Bet
Yes8.5%Bet

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No76.5%Bet
Yes23.5%Bet

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.2%Bet
Yes2.9%Bet

Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.9%Bet
Yes2.1%Bet

Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98%Bet
Yes2.1%Bet

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99%Bet
Yes1.1%Bet

Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.3%Bet
Yes0.8%Bet

Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.4%Bet
Yes0.7%Bet

Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Player Q be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player W be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player Y be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No79.5%Bet
Yes20.5%Bet

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No94.8%Bet
Yes5.3%Bet

Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Player J be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player L be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player N be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player P be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player R be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player T be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player X be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player Z be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AD be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AF be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AH be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will someone else be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.5%Bet
Yes1.6%Bet

Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.5%Bet
Yes2.6%Bet

Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Player I be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player K be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player M be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player O be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player S be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player U be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player V be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AB be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AG be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AI be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AC be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AE be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 78.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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