Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 81.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 81.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 18.5% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 81.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
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