Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? — Odds & Predictions

10 markets · Total volume $3.8M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: Yes at 73.5% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes — probability over time
73.5%▲ 0 pts

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes73.5%Bet
No26.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes54.5%Bet
No45.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No78.2%Bet
Yes21.9%Bet

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No89.2%Bet
Yes10.8%Bet

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96%Bet
Yes4.1%Bet

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.2%Bet
Yes1.9%Bet

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes87%Bet
No13%Bet

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes93.8%Bet
No6.3%Bet

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes93.4%Bet
No6.7%Bet

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes98.3%Bet
No1.7%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??

As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 73.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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