Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? — Odds & Predictions

10 markets · Total volume $1.5M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 62% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No — probability over time
62% 11.5 pts

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No62%Bet
Yes38%Bet

Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No88.5%Bet
Yes11.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No89.8%Bet
Yes10.3%Bet

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No72.5%Bet
Yes27.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No90.7%Bet
Yes9.4%Bet

Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.5%Bet
Yes3.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes64.5%Bet
No35.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes86.5%Bet
No13.5%Bet

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes94.4%Bet
No5.6%Bet

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes95.3%Bet
No4.8%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 62% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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