"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office — Odds & Predictions

6 markets · Total volume $261K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.3% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No — probability over time
99.3% 7 pts

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.3%Bet
Yes0.8%Bet

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.3%Bet
Yes0.7%Bet

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.6%Bet
Yes1.5%Bet

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.3%Bet
Yes2.7%Bet

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No91.1%Bet
Yes9%Bet

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes83.3%Bet
No16.7%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.3% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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