SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 100% implied probability.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No — probability over time
100%▲ 17.9 pts
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 89.5% | Bet |
| No | 10.5% | Bet |
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 79.5% | Bet |
| No | 20.5% | Bet |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 93.9% | Bet |
| Yes | 6.1% | Bet |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 95.8% | Bet |
| Yes | 4.3% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14?
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 100% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.