Richest person on December 31, 2026? — Odds & Predictions

37 markets · Total volume $2.0M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: Yes at 96.9% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes — probability over time

96.9%▼ 0.3 pts

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	96.9%	Bet
No	3.1%	Bet

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1%	Bet

Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.9%	Bet

Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will another individual be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Person B be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person C be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person D be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person E be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person F be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person G be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person H be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person I be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person J be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person K be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person L be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person M be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person N be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person O be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person P be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Q be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person R be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person S be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person T be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person U be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person V be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person W be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person X be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Y be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Z be richest person on December 31?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Richest person on December 31, 2026??

As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 96.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

← Browse all live prediction markets