Richest person on December 31, 2026? — Odds & Predictions

37 markets · Total volume $1.8M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.6% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?No — probability over time
99.6% 0.1 pts

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.3%Bet
Yes0.7%Bet

Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.9%Bet
Yes1.2%Bet

Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.5%Bet
Yes0.6%Bet

Will Person A be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person C be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person E be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person G be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person I be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person K be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person M be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person O be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person Q be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person S be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person U be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person W be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person Y be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person J be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes93.5%Bet
No6.5%Bet

Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.7%Bet
Yes1.3%Bet

Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will another individual be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person B be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person F be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person D be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person H be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person L be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person N be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person P be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person R be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person T be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person V be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person X be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Person Z be richest person on December 31?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Richest person on December 31, 2026??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.6% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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