Peru Presidential Election Winner — Odds & Predictions

49 markets · Total volume $99.6M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.9% implied probability.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No — probability over time
99.9% 1.5 pts

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will another candidate win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate B win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate E win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate G win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes96.4%Bet
No3.7%Bet

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will candidate R win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate S win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate T win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate W win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate X win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate Z win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will candidate C win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate F win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.5%Bet
Yes2.5%Bet

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will candidate D win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate H win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate J win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate K win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate L win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate N win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate U win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate I win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate M win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate P win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate Q win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate V win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate Y win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will candidate O win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Peru Presidential Election Winner?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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