Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner — Odds & Predictions

46 markets · Total volume $680K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 91.5% implied probability.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No — probability over time
91.5%▲ 2.5 pts

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No91.5%Bet
Yes8.5%Bet

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes55.5%Bet
No44.5%Bet

Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No96.8%Bet
Yes3.3%Bet

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.5%Bet
Yes0.6%Bet

Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Fatherland win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No88%Bet
Yes12%Bet

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No82.4%Bet
Yes17.6%Bet

Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.5%Bet
Yes0.6%Bet

Will Film I win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film J win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film K win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film L win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film M win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film N win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film O win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film P win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film Q win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film R win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film S win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film T win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film U win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film V win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film W win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film X win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film Y win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will Film Z win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

Will another film win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes50%Bet
No50%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 91.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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