Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? — Odds & Predictions

61 markets · Total volume $10.4M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.9% implied probability.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No — probability over time

99.9%▲ 0.1 pts

Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.2%	Bet

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.7%	Bet
Yes	1.3%	Bet

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	79.3%	Bet
No	20.8%	Bet

Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.2%	Bet
Yes	1.8%	Bet

Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Person C be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person D be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person E be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person F be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person G be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person H be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person I be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person J be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person K be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person L be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person M be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person N be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person O be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person P be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Q be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person R be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person S be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person T be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person U be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person V be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person W be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person X be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Y be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person Z be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AA be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AB be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AC be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AD be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AE be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AF be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AG be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AH be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AI be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AJ be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AK be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AL be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AM be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Person AN be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will another person be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	86.5%	Bet
Yes	13.5%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Next UK Prime Minister in 2026??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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