Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 99.7% implied probability.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.7% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.4% | Bet |
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.8% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.2% | Bet |
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.7% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.3% | Bet |
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.4% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.7% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.