Next James Bond actor? — Odds & Predictions

49 markets · Total volume $797K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 98.9% implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No — probability over time

98.9%▲ 10.4 pts

Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.4%	Bet
Yes	3.7%	Bet

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

A woman announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	84.1%	Bet
Yes	16%	Bet

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	63.3%	Bet
Yes	36.8%	Bet

Theo James announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

James Collier announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98%	Bet
Yes	2%	Bet

Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	88%	Bet
Yes	12.1%	Bet

Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.8%	Bet
Yes	4.3%	Bet

Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.7%	Bet
Yes	2.4%	Bet

Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.4%	Bet
Yes	4.7%	Bet

Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Placeholder 8 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 9 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 10 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 11 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 12 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 13 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 14 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 15 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 16 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 17 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 18 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 19 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 20 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 21 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 22 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 23 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 24 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 25 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 26 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 27 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 28 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 29 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Placeholder 30 announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Someone else announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

No one announced as next James Bond?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	78.1%	Bet
Yes	21.9%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Next James Bond actor??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 98.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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