MLB: Home Runs Leader — Odds & Predictions

102 markets · Total volume $3.1M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 99.1% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No — probability over time
99.1% 1 pts

Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.1%Bet
Yes0.9%Bet

Will Shohei Ohtani hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.2%Bet
Yes0.8%Bet

Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No63%Bet
Yes37%Bet

Will Cal Raleigh hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Eugenio Suarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Junior Caminero hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No87.5%Bet
Yes12.6%Bet

Will Pete Alonso hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Nick Kurtz hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.4%Bet
Yes0.6%Bet

Will Rafael Devers hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will George Springer hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Giancarlo Stanton hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Manny Machado hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Matt Olson hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.3%Bet
Yes1.8%Bet

Will James Wood hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97%Bet
Yes3%Bet

Will Yordan Alvarez hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No54.4%Bet
Yes45.6%Bet

Will Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Ben Rice hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No87.8%Bet
Yes12.3%Bet

Will Jordan Walker hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Sal Stewart hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will CJ Abrams hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Elly De La Cruz hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.8%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Shea Langeliers hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Player A hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player B hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player C hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player D hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player E hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player F hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player G hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player H hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player I hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player J hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player K hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player L hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player M hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player N hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player O hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player P hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player Q hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player R hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player S hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player T hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player U hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player V hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player W hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player X hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player Y hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player Z hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AA hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AB hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AC hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AD hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AE hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AF hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AG hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AH hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AI hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AJ hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AK hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AL hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AM hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AN hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AO hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AP hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AQ hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AR hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AS hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AT hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AU hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AV hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AW hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AX hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AY hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player AZ hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BA hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BB hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BC hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BD hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BE hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BF hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BG hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BH hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BI hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BJ hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BK hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BL hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BM hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BN hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BO hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BP hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BQ hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BR hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BS hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BT hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BU hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BV hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BW hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will Player BX hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

Will someone else hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes0%Bet
No0%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for MLB: Home Runs Leader?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.1% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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