MLB: ERA Leader — Odds & Predictions

86 markets · Total volume $1.8M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 98.2% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?No — probability over time

98.2%▲ 4 pts

Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.2%	Bet
Yes	1.9%	Bet

Will Tarik Skubal lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.2%	Bet
Yes	2.9%	Bet

Will Hunter Brown lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.1%	Bet
Yes	2.9%	Bet

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97%	Bet
Yes	3%	Bet

Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.6%	Bet
Yes	4.5%	Bet

Will Garrett Crochet lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.4%	Bet
Yes	2.6%	Bet

Will Freddy Peralta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.7%	Bet
Yes	3.3%	Bet

Will Andrew Abbott lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.7%	Bet
Yes	3.3%	Bet

Will Nick Pivetta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.5%	Bet
Yes	2.6%	Bet

Will Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Jacob deGrom lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Gavin Williams lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Carlos Rodón lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Matthew Boyd lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Joe Ryan lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Merrill Kelly lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Clay Holmes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.6%	Bet
Yes	1.5%	Bet

Will José Soriano lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Michael Wacha lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.8%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.9%	Bet
Yes	2.1%	Bet

Will Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.4%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Chad Patrick lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Taj Bradley lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.4%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Seth Lugo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.9%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Will Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	77.6%	Bet
Yes	22.4%	Bet

Will Carmen Mlodzinski lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.8%	Bet

Will Eduardo Rodriguez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	95.8%	Bet
Yes	4.3%	Bet

Will Reynaldo López lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.9%	Bet

Will Emerson Hancock lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Nolan McLean lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1.1%	Bet

Will Connelly Early lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.3%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Player A lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player B lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player C lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player D lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player E lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player F lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player G lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player H lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player I lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player J lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player K lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player L lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player M lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player N lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player O lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player P lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player Q lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player R lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player S lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player T lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player U lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player V lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player W lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player X lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player Y lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player Z lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AA lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AB lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AC lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AD lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AE lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AF lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AG lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AH lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AI lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AJ lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AK lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AL lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AM lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AN lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AO lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AP lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AQ lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AR lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AS lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AT lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AU lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AV lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AW lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Player AX lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will someone else lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for MLB: ERA Leader?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 98.2% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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