MLB: AL Rookie of the Year — Odds & Predictions

46 markets · Total volume $1.6M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 97.7% implied probability.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?No — probability over time

97.7%▼ 1.7 pts

Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.7%	Bet
Yes	2.3%	Bet

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	74.5%	Bet
No	25.5%	Bet

Will Carter Jensen win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Samuel Basallo win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97.4%	Bet
Yes	2.7%	Bet

Will Trey Yesavage win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1%	Bet

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	83.8%	Bet
Yes	16.2%	Bet

Will Tatsuya Imai win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.8%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.1%	Bet
Yes	3.9%	Bet

Will Connelly Early win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.7%	Bet

Will Carson Williams win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Dylan Beavers win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.4%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Travis Bazzana win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	97%	Bet
Yes	3.1%	Bet

Will Colt Emerson win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.8%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will Walker Jenkins win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.3%	Bet

Will Carlos Lagrange win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.6%	Bet

Will Brice Matthews win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.2%	Bet
Yes	0.9%	Bet

Will Leo De Vries win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Max Clark win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.5%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will A win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will B win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will C win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will D win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will E win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will F win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will G win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will H win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will I win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will J win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will K win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will L win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will M win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will N win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will O win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will P win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Q win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will R win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will S win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will T win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will U win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will V win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will W win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will X win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Y win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will someone else win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 97.7% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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