Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 99.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.5% | Bet |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.5% | Bet |
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 93.1% | Bet |
| Yes | 7% | Bet |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 55.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 44.5% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest grossing movie in 2026??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 99.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.