Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? — Odds & Predictions

7 markets · Total volume $4.1M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 89% implied probability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No — probability over time
89%▲ 12.5 pts

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No89%Bet
Yes11%Bet

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No92.5%Bet
Yes7.5%Bet

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No95.5%Bet
Yes4.6%Bet

Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.5%Bet
Yes1.6%Bet

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97.7%Bet
Yes2.4%Bet

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No76.5%Bet
Yes23.5%Bet

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
Yes77.5%Bet
No22.5%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 89% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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