Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: No at 98.2% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 98.2% | Bet |
| Yes | 1.9% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | Bet |
| No | 49.5% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 59.5% | Bet |
| Yes | 40.5% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 94.6% | Bet |
| Yes | 5.5% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.1% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.1% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.9% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.2% | Bet |
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.8% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.2% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026??
As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 98.2% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
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