Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026? — Odds & Predictions

51 markets · Total volume $894K · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 100% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?No — probability over time
100% 0.1 pts

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.4%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.6%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.3%Bet
Yes0.7%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No97%Bet
Yes3.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No90%Bet
Yes10.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No78.4%Bet
Yes21.7%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No75.8%Bet
Yes24.2%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No77.6%Bet
Yes22.5%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No88.3%Bet
Yes11.8%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No95.1%Bet
Yes4.9%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No98.2%Bet
Yes1.8%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.1%Bet
Yes1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.5%Bet
Yes0.5%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.7%Bet
Yes0.3%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No99.9%Bet
Yes0.2%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?

OutcomeImplied %Trade
No100%Bet
Yes0.1%Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026??

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 100% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

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