Bank of Russia decision in July? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: Yes at 54.5% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | Bet |
| No | 45.5% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Bank of Russia decision in July??
As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 54.5% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.