Bank of England decision in June? — Odds & Predictions
Current favorite: Yes at 99.9% implied probability.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.9% | Bet |
| No | 0.2% | Bet |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.1% | Bet |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
| Outcome | Implied % | Trade |
|---|---|---|
| No | 99.8% | Bet |
| Yes | 0.2% | Bet |
FAQ
What are the current odds for Bank of England decision in June??
As of the latest update, Yes is the favorite at an implied 99.9% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.
How are these odds calculated?
These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.
Can I bet on these outcomes?
Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.