Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — Odds & Predictions

89 markets · Total volume $20.6M · Live from Polymarket

Current favorite: No at 88.7% implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No — probability over time

88.7%▲ 3.2 pts

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	88.7%	Bet
Yes	11.3%	Bet

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.6%	Bet
Yes	0.5%	Bet

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.5%	Bet
Yes	1.6%	Bet

Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	75.2%	Bet
Yes	24.8%	Bet

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	59.1%	Bet
Yes	41%	Bet

Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will someone else win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.7%	Bet
Yes	0.4%	Bet

Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.8%	Bet
Yes	1.2%	Bet

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99.9%	Bet
Yes	0.2%	Bet

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	96.2%	Bet
Yes	3.9%	Bet

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	88.5%	Bet
Yes	11.5%	Bet

Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	98.1%	Bet
Yes	1.9%	Bet

Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	99%	Bet
Yes	1%	Bet

Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
No	100%	Bet
Yes	0.1%	Bet

Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder W] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder X] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder Y] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder Z] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AA] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AB] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AC] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AD] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AE] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AF] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AG] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AH] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AI] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AJ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AK] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AL] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AM] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AN] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AO] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AP] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AQ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AR] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AS] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AT] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AU] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AV] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AW] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AX] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AY] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder AZ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BA] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BB] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BC] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BD] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BE] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BF] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BG] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BH] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BI] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BJ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BK] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BL] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BM] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BN] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BO] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BP] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BQ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BR] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BS] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BT] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BU] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BV] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BW] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BX] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BY] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

Will [Placeholder BZ] win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Outcome	Implied %	Trade
Yes	0%	Bet
No	0%	Bet

FAQ

What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?

As of the latest update, No is the favorite at an implied 88.7% probability on Polymarket. Full outcome odds are listed above.

How are these odds calculated?

These are prediction-market prices from Polymarket. Each outcome's price (0 to 100%) is the implied probability the market assigns, set by real money traded, not a bookmaker's margin-adjusted line.

Can I bet on these outcomes?

Yes. Polymarket lets you trade real money on each outcome. Use the links above to view and trade any market, where it is available in your location.

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